TZT Midterms Thread

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by Kanmuk_Sealclubber, Sep 16, 2018.

  1. Kanmuk_Sealclubber

    Kanmuk_Sealclubber Yes

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  2. Sifter

    Sifter TZT Addict

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    You know our predictions are worth jack and shit.

    I’ve knocked some doors for WA 8th, which really is a tossup. Lot of people in the district do not vote and Kim Schrier really needs some of those voters to win (normally a leans R district).
     
  3. Holystrife

    Holystrife What the fuck did you just try to put in my ass?

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    Well, if there's hot button issues on the ballot in the state that increases voter turnout, it could be anyone's game. Otherwise it's anyone's game.
     
  4. Red

    Red TZT Neckbeard

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    I predict there will be a czer thread about it. That is really all I can count on anymore.
     
  5. Samassi Abou

    Samassi Abou TZT Abuser

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    Russia undermines election again and delivers surprise 20 seat House gain to the Republicans.
     
  6. Sear

    Sear TZT Neckbeard Lord

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    My incredibly bold prediction is that Dems take the House and don't take the Senate.

    Pray 4 Beto.

     
  7. Sifter

    Sifter TZT Addict

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    Ya I can't see them taking the Senate. My half-assed pundit take is that states like MO, FL, and AZ are gonna be tougher for Dems than 538's model predicts.

    I don't get how AZ leans Democrat in 538's model. Are there any weirdos from the great state of Arizona who would care to comment on this?
     
  8. Holystrife

    Holystrife What the fuck did you just try to put in my ass?

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    That's some shady shit IMO
     
  9. Velox

    Velox TZT Abuser

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    There is always the chance that right-wing populist votes are statistically underestimated due to polling/self-reporting bias, much like during the presidential election, and several European elections. On the other hand, Sweden just has the opposite effect, supposedly because pollsters had silently started trying to compensate for this factor, and perhaps overshot as populist voters became more confident. It's really hard to say how/if this translates to the mid-terms, but it would be interesting to know if 538 has such a compensation factor, and how it has changed over time.

    Still, because polling is complicated, if I were to make a prediction it would be "a bit closer than the 538 predictions indicate".
     
    Last edited: Sep 17, 2018
  10. Sanaleb

    Sanaleb TZT Addict

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  11. AgelessDrifter

    AgelessDrifter TZT Neckbeard Lord

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  12. Utumno

    Utumno Administrator Staff Member

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    #justgopthings
     
  13. Sear

    Sear TZT Neckbeard Lord

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    Watched all of this and I think Beto crushed him. It got pretty feisty. I think he was ready for Cruz's usual sleazy debate tactics (check @ ~11:30 when Beto calls him on it and counterpunches).


     
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2018
  14. Sear

    Sear TZT Neckbeard Lord

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    oily weasel gives the most backhanded compliment of all time

    true to form
     
  15. Sifter

    Sifter TZT Addict

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    Really? I was kinda worried, since Cruz is a debate nerd and generally comes out of these debates looking pretty good (figuratively of course)

    God I hope he loses.
     
  16. Sanlaven

    Sanlaven TZT Abuser

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    Is finishing up debates with a “please say something nice about your opponent” question a recent trend?
     
  17. Grandasaur Egg

    Grandasaur Egg Groor.

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    Hey sear IMO don’t be a bitch and either abstain or vote for cruz
     
  18. Sear

    Sear TZT Neckbeard Lord

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    ok sure
     
  19. Utumno

    Utumno Administrator Staff Member

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    I bet Beta O'Rourke isn't even really progressive and if you look really closely is not that far from Cruz on actual issues that matter. He's basically a White Bush.
     
  20. Red

    Red TZT Neckbeard

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    Someone get Asti in here for the real truth