Author Topic: NFL Week 4  (Read 1109 times)

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Offline Xantilleberry The Other Guy Who Posts About Sports A Lot

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NFL Week 4
« on: September 28, 2011, 11:48:07 PM »
Lions @ Cowboys -1
Saints -6.5 @ Jaguars
San Fran @ Philly -9
Redskins -1 @ Rams
Titans @ Browns -1
Buffalo -3 @ Bungles
Minnesota -1 @ Chiefs
Carolina @ Bears -6.5
Steelers @ Texans -4
Falcons -4.5 @ Seattle
Giants -1 @ Arizona
Dolphins @ Chargers -7
Denver @ Packers -12.5
Patriots -4 @ Oakland
Jets @ Ravens -3.5

I haven't really formed any sort of coherent thoughts on these sides yet. There are a lot of short spreads w/ these even matchups. I'm sure New England will be getting hammered at that number; Minnesota line really speaks to how bad KC is; I sort of like the Falcons to bounce back; this is a statement game for Houston.
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Offline Korsberry the Marked

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2011, 11:57:50 PM »
No idea on the betting side of it but here are my predictions

Lions vs Cowboys
Saints vs Jaguars
Niners vs Eagles
Redskins vs Rams
Titans vs Browns
Bills vs Bengals
Vikings vs Chiefs
Panthers vs Bears
Steelers vs Texans
Falcons vs Seahawks
Giants vs Cards
Dolphins vs Chargers
Broncos vs Packers
Patriots vs Raiders
Jets vs Ravens


Jets-Ravens game was the hardest for me to pick because I think it could either way.  I think Ravens win because its a home game.

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2011, 12:02:37 AM »
that arizona line is confusing as hell.. trap game~ same with the bills -3 at cinci..

you missed the MNF game xant..

Lions vs Cowboys
Saints vs Jaguars
Niners vs Eagles
Redskins vs Rams
Titans vs Browns
Bills vs Bengals
Vikings vs Chiefs
Panthers vs Bears
Steelers vs Texans
Falcons vs Seahawks
Giants vs Cards
Dolphins vs Chargers
Broncos vs Packers
Patriots vs Raiders
Jets vs Ravens
Indy @ Tampa Bay

think ill be taking the over for the pats/raiders, even at 55 lol..



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Havlen the Scribe

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2011, 12:25:49 AM »
Surprised they would give Cowboys the edge.   I'd call the game dead even.  On one hand, Romo may not survive the beating Suh can dish out, and the when Stafford throws Calvin Johnson a good ball, no can defense.   On the other hand, it's tough to go 4-0 and I'm not sure the Lions can do it.  If they come out flat and Dallas can figure out a way to contain Calvin Johnson (maybe Mike Jenkins can run around on stilts) it could be a close game.

I just want Romo to come out alive though.  I watched Suh almost destroy the best team in College football when Nebraska played the Longhorns.  He's a one man wrecking crew.

Jets vs Ravens should be interesting.  It looks like the Jets D has some holes in it.  We'll see if they get it turned around.  (I hope they do -- I have their defense.)


Online xanontz

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2011, 12:26:45 AM »
lol @ indy having 2 primetime games in back to back weeks.
And I think they have like 2 more scheduled before any shot at manning coming back/flex schedule for sundays goes into place. I don't know, I guess one of these days they're due for handing out a good upset but good god what an awfull monday night game to watch.


Offline Dementieva of Tallon

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2011, 07:35:25 AM »
Surprised they would give Cowboys the edge.

Totally agree.  I would think at this point Detroit would be overvalued by bettors, regardless of whether Vegas expects them to win.

Also agree with Nreekay about NYG@ARI being a trap.  I'm picking Arizona straight up.  Also picking Oakland, but that might be folly.

And yes, it looks like a great opportunity for the Texans to get a little separation.  The rest of the division is playing games they have a good chance of losing, so I really hope we will beat the Steelers.

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2011, 09:10:40 PM »
correct me if im wrong xant.. but the home team basically gets the -3 for being at home.. so for the cowboys to be a -1 they think detroit is 2 points better then dallas but the -3 over rides it..

interested in seeing a couple games
oakland rushed for 200+ yards on the jets, now they play NE's def..

i dont see who going to guard calvin johnson or whos gonna block the rest of the lions d-line after Suh eats a double team, and i believe nick fairly may make his season debut..

can the bills and lions really start 4-0??




Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Rayde-sz

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2011, 09:29:43 PM »
steelers texans line seems crazy. look for the dolphins to upset this week.

Offline Dementieva of Tallon

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2011, 10:10:36 PM »
What would your line for PIT@HOU be?  I think the line above is a pretty reasonable assessment based on what we've seen this year.  However, I won't be surprised in the least if Houston blows it.

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2011, 11:56:17 PM »
steelers texans line seems crazy. look for the dolphins to upset this week.

i missed a lot of the mNF game but from what i heard pitts was cycling in hurt linemen to replace more hurt linemen.. this game is kinda a must win for houston, after the debacle last week, if they want to be taken seriously as a play off threat.. they need a good win..

september is over, the chargers will turn it on now lol..





Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Klerick the Cleric

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2011, 11:59:47 AM »
Bill Belichick Forgets About Loss By Relaxing In Bathtub Filled With Warm Entrails

OXBOROUGH, MA—In an effort to relieve the stress of the Patriots’ disappointing 31-34 loss to the Buffalo Bills, New England head coach Bill Belichick reportedly relaxed at home Sunday night by soaking in a bathtub filled with warm entrails.

Belichick, who admitted that blowing a 21-point lead over a division rival had left him feeling frustrated, angry, and extremely nervous, said his anxiety over the Patriots struggling with their fundamentals “simply melted away” the moment he eased his body into a tub brimming with freshly disemboweled internal organs.

http://www.espn.com/articles/bill-belichick-forgets-about-loss-by-relaxing-in-b,26213/

Era, yesssssssss

Offline TZAstrall

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #11 on: September 30, 2011, 01:02:33 PM »
The Jets pro bowl center is almost certainly out for the game.

Haloti Ngata versus a second string rookie center.

Offline Dementieva of Tallon

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2011, 08:48:25 AM »
Having a heck of a time trying to decide who to start in my final W/R flex this week in my other league (PPR):

Willis McGahee @ GB
Felix Jones (shoulder) vs. Lions
Danny Woodhead @ Raiders
Jonathan Stewart @ CHI
Jordy Nelson vs. Denver

None of these scream "big day, lots of points!" to me, but any of them could do well.  Tony Gonzalez is also available (free agent) with some lineup finagling, but I don't think he's good enough to bump down all the guys listed above.

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2011, 11:12:42 AM »
and the bets for the day..

3 Team Parlay

(209) New Orleans Saints -7½ (-105) Sun@10:00a
Competitor:(210) Jacksonville Jaguars

(225) Atlanta Falcons -5½ (-110) Sun@1:05p
Competitor:(226) Seattle Seahawks

(207) Detroit Lions vs. (208) Dallas Cowboys Over 46 Sun@10:00a

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 61.16

4 Team Teaser

(207) Detroit Lions vs. (208) Dallas Cowboys Over 40 Sun@10:00a
Teased 6.0 points

(235) New York Jets +10 Sun@5:25p
Competitor:(236) Baltimore Ravens
Teased 6.0 points

(234) Oakland Raiders +11½ Sun@1:15p
Competitor:(233) New England Patriots
Teased 6.0 points

(238) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4½ Mon@5:35p
Competitor:(237) Indianapolis Colts

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 30.00

5 Team Parlay

(217) Buffalo Bills -3 Sun@10:00a
Competitor:(218) Cincinnati Bengals

(209) New Orleans Saints -7½ (-105) Sun@10:00a
Competitor:(210) Jacksonville Jaguars

(219) Minnesota Vikings -3 (-105) Sun@10:00a
Competitor:(220) Kansas City Chiefs

(225) Atlanta Falcons -5½ (-110) Sun@1:05p
Competitor:(226) Seattle Seahawks

(207) Detroit Lions vs. (208) Dallas Cowboys Over 46 Sun@10:00a

Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 127.61



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Dementieva of Tallon

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #14 on: October 02, 2011, 12:43:09 PM »
What does "teased 6.0 points" mean?  I can see your returns are much lower on the teaser.

Offline Xantilleberry The Other Guy Who Posts About Sports A Lot

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #15 on: October 02, 2011, 12:56:17 PM »
Dem- teasing is buying points (i.e. making a 3 pt underdog a 6 pt underdog) which is why the returns are much lower.

Dallas is getting steamed hard. Dallas was a 1 point favorite, line is 2.5 or 3 now.

I'll be on Cincy +3, Rams +3 for early games.
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Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #16 on: October 02, 2011, 01:27:56 PM »
still early but even with all of phillys moves, i think tenn getting hassleback might have been the best free agent pick up..



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #17 on: October 02, 2011, 01:29:49 PM »
the CK7 era has begun!??  colin kapernick is in the game for alex smith.. not sure why yet..

felix jones stuffed on 4th and 1 at the GL, why dont RBs jump over the pile into the endzone anymore.. seems like you'd have a 80-90% success rate..
« Last Edit: October 02, 2011, 01:35:12 PM by Nreekay »



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Dementieva of Tallon

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #18 on: October 02, 2011, 02:12:34 PM »
Andre Johnson and James Harrison both out at the moment.  Andre's injury looked bad, but he walked off.  He was running untouched and just went down and clutched his knee.

Offline Sear, Just Sear

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #19 on: October 02, 2011, 03:04:30 PM »
« Last Edit: October 02, 2011, 04:30:50 PM by Seary »

Offline Baneden the Argumentative

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #20 on: October 02, 2011, 03:44:03 PM »
Haha, after all that shit talking by Searyx, Tony Romo threw two pick sixes and Stafford just threw a TD pass to Johnson to make it 30-24 with 13 minutes left... plenty of time of Detroit to pull out the comeback

Offline Sear, Just Sear

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #21 on: October 02, 2011, 03:46:42 PM »
GOD

Offline Sear, Just Sear

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #22 on: October 02, 2011, 03:47:19 PM »
TONY ROMO CAN'T U LET ME TALK SHIT AS A DALLAS FAN JUST FOR ONCE

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #23 on: October 02, 2011, 03:54:31 PM »
god the viking look pathetic.. thank god for them they play az next week i guess lol



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #24 on: October 02, 2011, 04:01:26 PM »
wow.. eagles miss another field goal with akers on the other sideline lol

rex grossman looking like rex grossman in this 4th quarter.,.

lol.. "calvin johnson isnt the best player in the NFL, he isnt the best WR in the NFL, we go against better WR's in practice" Rob Ryan..  will be funny is megatron can get another td
« Last Edit: October 02, 2011, 04:05:57 PM by Nreekay »



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Ziakas Rubicante the Provider of Excellent Foodstuffs

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #25 on: October 02, 2011, 04:13:11 PM »
The fuck Romo?
derp

Offline Sear, Just Sear

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #26 on: October 02, 2011, 04:17:15 PM »
He's just havin' fun out there.


And I'm eating crow for my previous trash talk (even if they don't choke and win)

Offline Nreekay

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #27 on: October 02, 2011, 04:24:00 PM »
jeremy maclin loses another game for philly!

not sure which comeback is more impressive.. san frans or detroits..  the beast of the east going down it seems..

lol touchdown megatron with 12 men on the field.. oh yeah.. 8 tds, 4 games.. bye bye randy moss' td record?



Yeah so did anyone really buy into that lame Dallas-Detroit line?

For that matter, are people still making the DETROIT LIONS out to be one of the best teams in the league?

They are about as elite as the Arizona Cardinals.

Offline Sear, Just Sear

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #28 on: October 02, 2011, 04:28:35 PM »
Anddd... nope, looks like we're actually going to lose this.

Ahead 27-3, and we are actually going to lose the game (I'm not sure how much longer I can stick with using "we" btw). To the Detroit Lions. With Chunk as their QB.

Ladies and gentlemen - the 2011 Dallas Cowboys.

Offline Dementieva of Tallon

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Re: NFL Week 4
« Reply #29 on: October 02, 2011, 04:31:52 PM »
This year, the Detroit game on Thanksgiving might be the one that's not an embarrassment to the league!